United StatesCT 2024 and 2025Last heat: Lexus Tahiti Pro 2025
Cole
Houshmand
- Trim
- 0.39per heat, ± 0.87 (95%)
- Rated heats
- 59at or above 16
- Prior weight
- 0.0657% of the rating
- Heats surfed
- 5920 events
- Heats won
- 26of 59
- Mean heat total
- 11.78over 59
- Best heat
- 17.73Lexus Tahiti Pro
The swell · HoushmandCT 2024 and 2025 · 59 rated heats
Scroll to ride 59 heats
The swell · four moments from 59 rated heats
- Heat 2 · Lexus Pipe Pro 2024 · Elimination RoundThe deepest trough.5.77 against an expected 11.47: a gap of −5.70, his largest miss in these seasons.
- Heat 41 · Rip Curl Pro Bells Beach 2025 · Round of 32The low tide.8.17 against an expected 11.74 (1-4', offshore). His Trim bottoms out at −0.576.
- Heat 57 · Lexus Tahiti Pro 2025 · Opening RoundThe highest crest.17.73 (Teahupo'o, 8-10', calm) against an expected 10.72. A gap of +7.01.
- Heat 59 · Lexus Tahiti Pro 2025 · QuarterfinalsWhere it ends.11.50 against 13.05, leaving his Trim at 0.393.
Trim timeline
Every recorded heat, 2024 and 2025
Reading it — the line is Trim after each heat: points per heat above or below what that round usually yields. It starts at the prior, 0.000, and moves by a decayed share of each heat's deviation. The bars below are those deviations, one per heat, on their own scale. Neither panel is a prediction.
Extremes — best +7.01 at 2025 Lexus Tahiti Pro · Opening Round heat 5; worst −5.70 at 2024 Lexus Pipe Pro · Elimination Round heat 4. Axis to ±8, the exact maximum rounded outward.
How this is computed
Computed over
trim joined to datum, in the run's own ordering — 59 of this surfer's 59 heats. Trim is an EWMA of the deviation from Datum (ewma_residual_hl15, half-life 15 heats, prior 0, computed 2026-10-17 over 1845 entries and 73 surfers). Datum is a ridge on the round alone, so “expected” is what that round usually yields, not what these conditions or this break usually yield. The decay earns very little: walk-forward RMSE 2.9098 against 2.9123 for a shrunk flat mean of the same residuals — paired t 0.56. Predicting zero for everyone scores 2.9688. The ordering is what Trim is for; the half-life is not doing the work.Heat log
59 heats across 20 events
| Counting rides | Conditions | Progression | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2024 Lexus Pipe ProOpening Round · heat 5 · Pipeline | 3rd | 7.03 | 5.83 + 1.20 | −3.69exp 10.72 | −0.1670.955 | 8-10' · Calm | Adv to ER - HT 4 |
| 2 | 2024 Lexus Pipe ProElimination Round · heat 4 | 3rd | 5.77 | 4.50 + 1.27 | −5.70exp 11.47 | −0.4170.912 | 8-10' · Calm | Eliminated |
| 3 | 2024 Hurley Pro Sunset BeachOpening Round · heat 8 · Sunset Beach | 2nd | 8.83 | 4.43 + 4.40 | −1.89exp 10.72 | −0.4830.871 | 6-8' · Cross | Adv to R/32 - HT 16 |
| 4 | 2024 Hurley Pro Sunset BeachRound of 32 · heat 16 · Sunset Beach | 2nd | 12.66 | 7.33 + 5.33 | +0.92exp 11.74 | −0.4200.831 | 10-14' · Cross | — |
| 5 | 2024 MEO Rip Curl Pro PortugalOpening Round · heat 1 · Supertubos | 1st | 10.10 | 5.43 + 4.67 | −0.62exp 10.72 | −0.4290.794 | 4-6' · Offshore | Adv to R/32 - HT 3 |
| 6 | 2024 MEO Rip Curl Pro PortugalRound of 32 · heat 3 · Supertubos | 1st | 12.10 | 6.50 + 5.60 | +0.36exp 11.74 | −0.3940.758 | 4-6' · Cross | — |
| 7 | 2024 MEO Rip Curl Pro PortugalRound of 16 · heat 2 · Supertubos | 2nd | 11.70 | 6.20 + 5.50 | −0.34exp 12.04 | −0.3910.724 | 4-6' · Cross | — |
| 8 | 2024 Rip Curl Pro Bells BeachOpening Round · heat 10 · Bells Beach | 3rd | 8.00 | 4.33 + 3.67 | −2.72exp 10.72 | −0.4970.691 | 4-6' · Offshore | Adv to ER - HT 4 |
| 9 | 2024 Rip Curl Pro Bells BeachElimination Round · heat 4 · Bells Beach | 2nd | 9.54 | 5.17 + 4.37 | −1.93exp 11.47 | −0.5610.660 | 4-6' · Onshore | Adv to R/32 - HT 7 |
| 10 | 2024 Rip Curl Pro Bells BeachRound of 32 · heat 7 · Winki Pop | 1st | 14.27 | 7.47 + 6.80 | +2.53exp 11.74 | −0.4220.630 | 1-4' · Light | — |
| 11 | 2024 Rip Curl Pro Bells BeachRound of 16 · heat 4 · Winki Pop | 1st | 14.37 | 8.67 + 5.70 | +2.33exp 12.04 | −0.2980.602 | 1-4' · Onshore | — |
| 12 | 2024 Rip Curl Pro Bells BeachQuarterfinals · heat 2 · Bells Beach | 1st | 13.84 | 9.07 + 4.77 | +0.79exp 13.05 | −0.2480.574 | 1-4' · Light | — |
| 13 | 2024 Rip Curl Pro Bells BeachSemifinals · heat 1 · Bells Beach | 1st | 13.14 | 6.77 + 6.37 | −0.61exp 13.75 | −0.2650.548 | 1-4' · Onshore | — |
| 14 | 2024 Rip Curl Pro Bells BeachFinal · heat 1 · Bells Beach | 1st | 13.50 | 7.00 + 6.50 | −0.99exp 14.49 | −0.2970.524 | 1-4' · Onshore | — |
| 15 | 2024 Western Australia Margaret River ProOpening Round · heat 8 · Main Break | 3rd | 12.73 | 7.40 + 5.33 | +2.01exp 10.72 | −0.1930.500 | 1-4' · Offshore | Adv to ER - HT 3 |
| 16 | 2024 Western Australia Margaret River ProElimination Round · heat 3 · Main Break | 1st | 13.10 | 6.60 + 6.50 | +1.63exp 11.47 | −0.1110.477 | 4-6' · Offshore | Adv to R/32 - HT 7 |
| 17 | 2024 Western Australia Margaret River ProRound of 32 · heat 7 · Main Break | 2nd | 12.87 | 6.77 + 6.10 | +1.13exp 11.74 | −0.0550.456 | 1-4' · Onshore | — |
| 18 | 2024 SHISEIDO Tahiti ProOpening Round · heat 8 · Teahupo'o | 2nd | 11.70 | 6.50 + 5.20 | +0.98exp 10.72 | −0.0080.435 | 4-6' · Offshore | Adv to ER - HT 2 |
| 19 | 2024 SHISEIDO Tahiti ProElimination Round · heat 2 · Teahupo'o | 1st | 17.24 | 9.57 + 7.67 | +5.77exp 11.47 | 0.2530.416 | 8-10' · Offshore | Adv to R/16 - HT 4 |
| 20 | 2024 SHISEIDO Tahiti ProRound of 16 · heat 4 · Teahupo'o | 2nd | 15.77 | 8.27 + 7.50 | +3.73exp 12.04 | 0.4100.397 | 8-10' · Calm | — |
| 21 | 2024 Surf City El Salvador ProOpening Round · heat 8 · Punta Roca | 2nd | 10.84 | 6.17 + 4.67 | +0.12exp 10.72 | 0.3960.379 | 4-6' · Light | Adv to ER - HT 5 |
| 22 | 2024 Surf City El Salvador ProElimination Round · heat 5 · Punta Roca | 2nd | 12.57 | 6.57 + 6.00 | +1.10exp 11.47 | 0.4280.362 | 4-6' · Light | Eliminated |
| 23 | 2024 VIVO Rio ProOpening Round · heat 1 · Itaúna | 3rd | 7.50 | 5.50 + 2.00 | −3.22exp 10.72 | 0.2630.345 | 4-6' · Calm | Adv to ER - HT 6 |
| 24 | 2024 VIVO Rio ProElimination Round · heat 6 · Itaúna | 1st | 14.66 | 8.83 + 5.83 | +3.19exp 11.47 | 0.3960.330 | 6-8' · Onshore | Adv to R/16 - HT 4 |
| 25 | 2024 VIVO Rio ProRound of 16 · heat 4 · Itaúna | 2nd | 9.27 | 5.50 + 3.77 | −2.77exp 12.04 | 0.2530.315 | 6-8' · Onshore | — |
| 26 | 2024 Corona Fiji ProOpening Round · heat 5 · Cloudbreak | 2nd | 11.67 | 7.67 + 4.00 | +0.95exp 10.72 | 0.2840.301 | 4-6' · Offshore | Adv to ER - HT 2 |
| 27 | 2024 Corona Fiji ProElimination Round · heat 2 · Cloudbreak | 2nd | 12.66 | 6.33 + 6.33 | +1.19exp 11.47 | 0.3250.287 | 4-6' · Offshore | Eliminated |
| 28 | 2025 Lexus Pipe ProOpening Round · heat 10 · Pipeline | 2nd | 6.14 | 3.67 + 2.47 | −4.58exp 10.72 | 0.1030.274 | 6-8' · Calm | Adv to R/32 - HT 2 |
| 29 | 2025 Lexus Pipe ProRound of 32 · heat 2 · Pipeline | 2nd | 6.17 | 4.17 + 2.00 | −5.57exp 11.74 | −0.1530.262 | 6-8' · Calm | — |
| 30 | 2025 Surf Abu Dhabi ProQualifying Round · heat 7 · Surf Abu Dhabi | 3rd | 11.94 | — | +0.77exp 11.17 | −0.1110.250 | not published | Adv to NS |
| 31 | 2025 MEO Rip Curl Pro PortugalOpening Round · heat 1 · Supertubos | 2nd | 7.57 | 3.80 + 3.77 | −3.15exp 10.72 | −0.2490.239 | 4-6' · Calm | Adv to R/32 - HT 6 |
| 32 | 2025 MEO Rip Curl Pro PortugalRound of 32 · heat 6 · Supertubos | 1st | 10.97 | 5.80 + 5.17 | −0.77exp 11.74 | −0.2720.228 | 4-6' · Onshore | — |
| 33 | 2025 MEO Rip Curl Pro PortugalRound of 16 · heat 3 · Supertubos | 2nd | 7.94 | 4.27 + 3.67 | −4.10exp 12.04 | −0.4450.218 | 4-6' · Cross | — |
| 34 | 2025 Surf City El Salvador ProOpening Round · heat 8 · Punta Roca | 3rd | 9.33 | 5.43 + 3.90 | −1.39exp 10.72 | −0.4880.208 | 4-6' · Calm | Adv to ER - HT 3 |
| 35 | 2025 Surf City El Salvador ProElimination Round · heat 3 · Punta Roca | 2nd | 12.46 | 6.63 + 5.83 | +0.99exp 11.47 | −0.4210.198 | 4-6' · Calm | Adv to R/32 - HT 14 |
| 36 | 2025 Surf City El Salvador ProRound of 32 · heat 14 · Punta Roca | 1st | 13.17 | 7.17 + 6.00 | +1.43exp 11.74 | −0.3380.189 | 4-6' · Calm | — |
| 37 | 2025 Surf City El Salvador ProRound of 16 · heat 7 · Punta Roca | 1st | 14.33 | 8.50 + 5.83 | +2.29exp 12.04 | −0.2190.181 | 6-8' · Offshore | — |
| 38 | 2025 Surf City El Salvador ProQuarterfinals · heat 4 · Punta Roca | 1st | 11.50 | 6.67 + 4.83 | −1.55exp 13.05 | −0.2790.173 | 4-6' · Calm | — |
| 39 | 2025 Surf City El Salvador ProSemifinals · heat 2 · Punta Roca | 2nd | 10.00 | 5.33 + 4.67 | −3.75exp 13.75 | −0.4360.165 | 6-8' · Light | — |
| 40 | 2025 Rip Curl Pro Bells BeachOpening Round · heat 12 · Bells Beach | 1st | 10.33 | 6.50 + 3.83 | −0.39exp 10.72 | −0.4340.157 | 4-6' · Onshore | Adv to R/32 - HT 7 |
| 41 | 2025 Rip Curl Pro Bells BeachRound of 32 · heat 7 | 2nd | 8.17 | 4.67 + 3.50 | −3.57exp 11.74 | −0.5760.150 | 1-4' · Offshore | — |
| 42 | 2025 Bonsoy Gold Coast ProOpening Round · heat 10 · Burleigh | 2nd | 12.46 | 6.83 + 5.63 | +1.74exp 10.72 | −0.4710.144 | 1-4' · Offshore | Adv to R/32 - HT 14 |
| 43 | 2025 Bonsoy Gold Coast ProRound of 32 · heat 14 · Burleigh | 2nd | 10.43 | 5.50 + 4.93 | −1.31exp 11.74 | −0.5090.137 | 4-6' · Light | — |
| 44 | 2025 Western Australia Margaret River ProOpening Round · heat 8 · Main Break | 1st | 16.43 | 8.50 + 7.93 | +5.71exp 10.72 | −0.2290.131 | 4-6' · Offshore | Adv to R/32 - HT 2 |
| 45 | 2025 Western Australia Margaret River ProRound of 32 · heat 2 · Main Break | 2nd | 9.90 | 5.13 + 4.77 | −1.84exp 11.74 | −0.3010.125 | 8-10' · Offshore | — |
| 46 | 2025 Lexus Trestles ProOpening Round · heat 1 · Lower Trestles | 1st | 13.80 | 7.00 + 6.80 | +3.08exp 10.72 | −0.1490.119 | 4-6' · Light | Adv to R/16 - HT 5 |
| 47 | 2025 Lexus Trestles ProRound of 16 · heat 5 · Lower Trestles | 1st | 16.43 | 8.70 + 7.73 | +4.39exp 12.04 | 0.0560.114 | 4-6' · Calm | — |
| 48 | 2025 Lexus Trestles ProQuarterfinals · heat 3 | 2nd | 15.94 | 8.17 + 7.77 | +2.89exp 13.05 | 0.1840.109 | 4-6' · Light | — |
| 49 | 2025 VIVO Rio ProOpening Round · heat 4 · Itaúna | 1st | 13.30 | 8.00 + 5.30 | +2.58exp 10.72 | 0.2920.104 | 1-4' · Calm | Adv to R/16 - HT 3 |
| 50 | 2025 VIVO Rio ProRound of 16 · heat 3 · Itaúna | 1st | 9.84 | 8.67 + 1.17 | −2.20exp 12.04 | 0.1800.099 | 4-6' · Offshore | — |
| 51 | 2025 VIVO Rio ProQuarterfinals · heat 2 · Itaúna | 1st | 13.50 | 7.83 + 5.67 | +0.45exp 13.05 | 0.1920.095 | 4-6' · Calm | — |
| 52 | 2025 VIVO Rio ProSemifinals · heat 1 · Itaúna | 1st | 15.06 | 7.73 + 7.33 | +1.31exp 13.75 | 0.2430.090 | 4-6' · Offshore | — |
| 53 | 2025 VIVO Rio ProFinal · heat 1 · Itaúna | 1st | 16.90 | 9.40 + 7.50 | +2.41exp 14.49 | 0.3400.086 | 4-6' · Offshore | — |
| 54 | 2025 Corona Cero Open J-BayOpening Round · heat 5 · Supertubes | 3rd | 8.00 | 4.03 + 3.97 | −2.72exp 10.72 | 0.2020.082 | 4-6' · Light | Adv to ER - HT 4 |
| 55 | 2025 Corona Cero Open J-BayElimination Round · heat 4 · Supertubes | 1st | 12.86 | 6.93 + 5.93 | +1.39exp 11.47 | 0.2560.079 | 4-6' · Onshore | Adv to R/16 - HT 4 |
| 56 | 2025 Corona Cero Open J-BayRound of 16 · heat 4 · Supertubes | 2nd | 12.57 | 6.40 + 6.17 | +0.53exp 12.04 | 0.2680.075 | 1-4' · Light | — |
| 57 | 2025 Lexus Tahiti ProOpening Round · heat 5 · Teahupo'o | 1st | 17.73 | 9.00 + 8.73 | +7.01exp 10.72 | 0.5730.072 | 8-10' · Calm | Adv to R/16 - HT 6 |
| 58 | 2025 Lexus Tahiti ProRound of 16 · heat 6 · Teahupo'o | 1st | 10.67 | 6.17 + 4.50 | −1.37exp 12.04 | 0.4850.069 | 6-8' · Calm | — |
| 59 | 2025 Lexus Tahiti ProQuarterfinals · heat 3 · Teahupo'o | 2nd | 11.50 | 6.00 + 5.50 | −1.55exp 13.05 | 0.3930.065 | 6-8' · Calm | — |
How this is computed
Computed over
heat_entries joined to heats, rounds and events, one row per heat surfed. position and heat_total are published, never derived from the rides; a heat with no total renders as an em-dash, never as zero. The counting rides are the stored waves.counted flag in score order, not ride order, which is how WSL publishes the decomposition; they are not the best two, because an interference penalty zeroes a counting ride without promoting the next one. counting_rides belongs to the round, not the event. Venue is heats.venue_id — the break the heat was actually surfed at, which for 56 of these 59 heatsis stored, and which is not always the event's nominal venue. Round order carries a known gap and no tie countback is stored, so a shared position is shown as published.Condition splits
What he scored, by what the page said
By published wave height
| Height | Heats | Mean | Best | vs Datum |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-4' | 11 | 12.84 | 14.37 | +0.77 |
| 4-6' | 31 | 11.74 | 16.90 | +0.13 |
| 6-8' | 9 | 10.17 | 14.66 | −1.78 |
| 8-10' | 6 | 12.24 | 17.73 | +0.88 |
| 10-14' | 1 | 12.66 | 12.66 | +0.92 |
“Heats” counts the rated heats in the split; where a heat carries no published total it is shown as rated of total and left out of the means.
By published wind
| Wind | Heats | Mean | Best | vs Datum |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calm | 17 | 10.91 | 17.73 | −0.66 |
| Offshore | 16 | 12.52 | 17.24 | +0.94 |
| Light | 10 | 12.23 | 15.94 | +0.33 |
| Onshore | 10 | 12.15 | 14.66 | +0.06 |
| Cross | 5 | 10.65 | 12.66 | −1.01 |
“Heats” counts the rated heats in the split; where a heat carries no published total it is shown as rated of total and left out of the means.
What these are not Conditions are not in the model. Datum V1 is a ridge on the round alone: break, wave type and field size were tested on 27 August and dropped, because adding them made the leave-one-event-out error worse rather than better. The “vs Datum” column in each split is therefore this surfer's deviation from what that round usually yields, averaged over the heats that fall in the split. It is a description of where he scored, not a measurement of conditions he favours, and a difference between two rows here is not evidence that either caused anything. Computed over the 58 of his 59 heatswhose popup was retained and publishes both figures; the remainder are absent from these tables rather than pooled into an “unknown” row.
How this is computed
Computed over
heats.wave_height_published and heats.wind_conditions, both read off the retained heat popup and shown in the words the page used. Across the database these are held for 771 of 801 heats, a different population from venue, which is held for 713. For this surfer that is 58 of 59. Heats with no published conditions are left out of both tables; they are not an “unknown” category.